Audit

Audit

Setiap angka yang terbit, diturunkan ulang oleh sesuatu yang bukan pipeline-nya.

Angka di ruang analisis ditulis sebagai jalur ke keluaran pipeline, jadi yang tampil selalu yang benar-benar diemitkan. Itu menjamin situs ini tidak salah kutip — tapi tidak membuktikan pipeline-nya benar. Program yang mengeluarkan angkanya sendiri paling jauh hanya konsisten dengan dirinya sendiri.

Maka ada notebook yang membaca berkas mentahnya dan keluaran yang terbit, menghitung ulang tiap klaim dari nol, lalu memastikan keduanya sama. Ia sengaja tidak mengimpor pipeline-nya: pipeline-nya ditulis dengan pustaka standar, notebook-nya dengan pandas dan numpy (pandas + numpy only, no scipy). Kalau dua implementasi yang tidak berbagi mesin sampai ke angka yang sama, angka itu bukan artefak salah satunya.

98

klaim diperiksa

98

pemeriksaan

00

gagal

Ia juga memeriksa tempat-tempat situs ini mengaku lemah, karena sebuah pengakuan juga sebuah klaim. Residual piece 01 yang bergantung skala dihitung ulang dengan dua cara, dan klaim kerataan piece 02 yang ditarik diperiksa memang layak ditarik — profil tidur benar-benar serata profil layar.

Setiap pemeriksaan

klaimdihitung ulangyang terbit
the two layers correlate-0.367-0.367cocok
shared variance0.1350.135cocok
CI low-0.4658-0.4658cocok
CI high-0.2591-0.2591cocok
predicted rank267267cocok
rated rank44cocok
displacement263263cocok
largest displacement of all11cocok
OLS slope is negative-5.1569-5.1569cocok
residual rank, shipped11cocok
residual rank, OLS1717cocok
admits scale dependenceTrueTruecocok
one negative ability11cocok
it is Originality'Originality''Originality'cocok
its score-0.144-0.144cocok
writers' percentile on Originality97.497.4cocok

The Line Someone Drew

17 pemeriksaan
klaimdihitung ulangyang terbit
screen r0.13440.1344cocok
screen r2 %1.81.8cocok
sleep quality r2 %14.514.5cocok
variance ratio8.08.0cocok
spearman0.14550.1455cocok
absorbed by hours slept, %46.046.0cocok
exactly one cutoff reproduces the column11cocok
and it is1414cocok
next best cutoff1313cocok
next best agreement0.97980.9798cocok
grid size130130cocok
lowest ratio1.1471.147cocok
highest ratio2.9672.967cocok
intervals clear of 19292cocok
screen spread ÷ size0.2180.218cocok
sleep spread ÷ size0.1870.187cocok
sleep is at least as flatTrueTruecocok
klaimdihitung ulangyang terbit
rows in the province column3535cocok
actual provinces3434cocok
the aggregate is named'INDONESIA''INDONESIA'cocok
rho(ump2020, ump2022)0.99580.9958cocok
rho(ump2020, ump2021)0.68120.6812cocok
rho(ump2021, ump2022)0.67230.6723cocok
no province fell 2020 to 2022TrueTruecocok
provinces outside the [2020, 2022] bracket1313cocok
displaced values traced to another province99cocok
clean 2021 provinces2121cocok
of those, froze the wage exactly1818cocok
rho after shifting the column back one row0.21010.2101cocok
the shift hypothesis is rejectedTrueTruecocok
the row gaps are irregular[-7, -2, -1, 1, 9, 15, 24][-7, -2, -1, 1, 9, 15, 24]cocok
province-years in the clean panel238238cocok
years used[2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022][2015, 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2022]cocok
median people, first year4.6744.674cocok
median people, last year4.7744.774cocok
fewest people, any province-year2.7922.792cocok
most people, any province-year8.8618.861cocok
share of province-years under five people54.654.6cocok
share under four people8.08.0cocok
one province is lowest in every clean yearTrueTruecocok
elasticity, province fixed effects1.14571.1457cocok
elasticity, province + year fixed effects-0.2621-0.2621cocok
the two-way interval contains zeroTrueTruecocok
Theil T of provincial minimum wages, 20020.019820.01982cocok
provinces with a wage in 20023030cocok
Theil T of provincial minimum wages, 20220.020860.02086cocok
provinces with a wage in 20223434cocok
rank persistence of people-per-wage0.91990.9199cocok
provinces compared3434cocok
food share of actual spending, 2022 PERKOTAAN0.4720.472cocok
food share of the poverty line, 2022 PERKOTAAN0.72780.7278cocok
food share of actual spending, 2022 PERDESAAN0.56520.5652cocok
food share of the poverty line, 2022 PERDESAAN0.76140.7614cocok
median actual wage over legal minimum, 20151.39951.3995cocok
provinces below their own legal minimum, 201500cocok
median actual wage over legal minimum, 20221.13151.1315cocok
provinces below their own legal minimum, 202299cocok
every machine cell re-derives00cocok
machine cells committed23762376cocok
the default household is below the line11cocok
how many provinces put 4 people on 1 wage under the line33cocok
provinces excluded from the machine['DKI JAKARTA']['DKI JAKARTA']cocok

The Denominator

20 pemeriksaan
klaimdihitung ulangyang terbit
piece 04 · the world median in the first year3.35233.3523cocok
piece 04 · the world median in the last year3.29153.2915cocok
piece 04 · how far the yearly median ever wanders0.20250.2025cocok
piece 04 · median move, counted-death countries0.79660.7966cocok
piece 04 · median move, modelled countries0.40510.4051cocok
piece 04 · p-value that counted countries move more0.00180.001794cocok
piece 04 · correlation: ratio against the male rate0.04820.0482cocok
piece 04 · correlation: ratio against the female rate-0.4843-0.4843cocok
piece 04 · share of the ratio's variance from the female side104.1104.1cocok
piece 04 · share of the ratio's variance from the male side-4.1-4.1cocok
piece 04 · countries in the undetermined-intent comparison9787cocok
piece 04 · median share filed as undetermined, women0.25050.2542cocok
piece 04 · median share filed as undetermined, men0.20590.2097cocok
piece 04 · share of countries where women's undetermined-share is higher0.710.7356cocok
piece 04 · p-value, women's share higher than men's8.5e-051.279e-05cocok
piece 04 · undetermined-share gap at 15-19 (women minus men)-0.081-0.0806cocok
piece 04 · undetermined share at 95-99, women0.7230.7227cocok
piece 04 · undetermined share at 95-99, men0.3970.3973cocok
piece 04 · symptom ratio, women:men (US household survey)1.2311.231cocok
piece 04 · suicide-death ratio, men:women (US death register)3.693.688cocok

analysis/notebooks/audit.ipynb

Seluruh notebook-nya di bawah — 52 sel, dengan keluaran yang benar-benar dihasilkan tiap sel waktu analysis/notebooks/make_audit.py + analysis/04-gender-paradox/make_audit_04.py menjalankannya. Tidak ada yang disalin tangan, dan tidak ada satu baris pun yang berupa tangkapan layar.